Good Regional Vibrations from a Nuclear Deal with Iran09/18/14
Paul R. Pillar
Iran Iraq terrorism, Middle East
The
negotiations between Iran and the consortium known as the P5+1 (the
five permanent members of the United Nations Security Council plus
Germany) about the future of Iran's nuclear program are inching back
into the news after being largely obscured by other diplomatic tasks and
events over the past couple of months. The two sides will be fully
engaged in the talks during the remainder of this month, in anticipation
of a late-November target date for completing a deal. We are hearing
again technical and numerical details about centrifuges and capacity for
enriching uranium that represent much of what evidently needs to be
resolved for a final agreement. But the significance of an agreement,
and thus what is at stake in whether or not one is reached, go far
beyond the nuclear minutiae. They extend to the capacity of the United
States to address fully and effectively many problems in the Middle East
and South Asia.
This
week The Iran Project, a group led by former U.S. ambassadors and
dedicated to supporting U.S. interests through diplomacy on matters that
involve Iran, released a report
on likely regional implications of a nuclear deal with Iran. (I am
involved with The Iran Project and participated in preparation of the
report.) The report has some thirty signatories and endorsers, including
former national security advisers and other former senior officials. A
premise of the report is that a successful nuclear agreement, by
resolving the issue that has so heavily dominated for years the
U.S.-Iranian relationship in particular, is likely to have other
repercussions in the Middle East. This is partly because it would open
up opportunities in the U.S.-Iranian relationship itself to address
other problems of mutual concern. It is also because, given the
importance of the United States to many states in the region, there are
apt to be secondary effects involving the relations of those states with
Iran.
Read full articlehttp://nationalinterest.org/blog/paul-pillar/good-regional-vibrations-nuclear-deal-iran-11315 |
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