By: Andrew Green | Briefing
One
of the more unexpected decisions to emerge in the waning days of Barack
Obama’s presidency was his move last week to ease U.S. sanctions against
Sudan that have been in place for nearly two decades. The move to open
up Sudan’s economy might encourage the reforms that 20 years of
sanctions have not.
By: Paul Imison | Briefing
Amid
U.S. President-elect Donald Trump’s threats on trade and immigration
with Mexico, deeply unpopular Mexican President Enrique Pena Nieto faces
social unrest and a potential recession ahead of a presidential
election in 2018, when another populist underdog will look to capitalize
on public anger.
By: The Editors | Trend Lines
An
Egyptian court recently upheld a decision to freeze the assets of three
women’s rights activists. The three are charged, along with five others,
of using illegally obtained foreign funds to “destabilize Egypt.” In an
email interview, Marwa Shalaby discusses women’s rights and gender
equality in Egypt.
By: Timothy R. Heath | Briefing
As
Donald Trump prepares to assume the presidency of the United States, the
contest with China for influence in Asia continues apace. The region’s
ambiguous response to President Barack Obama’s rebalance or “pivot” owes
less to any U.S. shortcoming than to the potency of its competitor,
China.
By: Karina Piser | Trend Lines
Security
has defined France’s Africa policy under President Francois Hollande,
who was in Mali last week for the final Africa-France Summit of his
presidency. But critics argue that Hollande’s militaristic approach
distracted from the institution-building necessary for long-term African
stability.
By: The Editors | Trend Lines
With
general elections due to be held by 2018, Sierra Leone’s opposition
parties have been criticizing the ruling All People’s Congress party for
its handling of the country’s poverty and crime issues. In an email
interview, Tristan Reed discusses poverty and income inequality in
Sierra Leone.
By: Frederick Deknatel | Trend Lines
Last
month’s terrorist attack in southern Jordan, which the Islamic State
claimed responsibility for, was a brutal reminder of the kingdom’s
fragile security situation. For all the worries about homegrown
extremism in Jordan, though, the attack revealed its opposite: popular
rejection of the Islamic State.
By: Robert Looney | Briefing
Resource
booms and busts are a sad reality for most commodity-based developing
countries, and Trinidad and Tobago is no exception. The wealthiest of
the Caribbean economies, thanks to its oil and gas resources, is
currently mired in a severe recession after the collapse of world oil
prices.
By: Steven Metz | Column
In
the NIC’s latest long-term forecast, which catalogues an array of
political, economic, demographic and technological trends, a single
keyword occurs over and over: disruption. In a very broad sense, the
futurists in the U.S. intelligence community believe the world has
entered an age of disruption.
By: The Editors | Trend Lines
In
this week’s Trend Lines podcast, WPR’s editor-in-chief, Judah Grunstein,
and senior editor, Frederick Deknatel, discuss President Barack Obama’s
foreign policy legacy. For the Report, Patrick M. Stewart talks to
Peter Dörrie about the prospects of the liberal world order and what
might replace it.
By: Robbie Corey-Boulet | Briefing
Last
week, Cote d’Ivoire’s government and soldiers who had mutinied claimed
to have reached a deal to end their standoff. The mutiny proved that,
six years after the creation of a new Ivoirian army amid post-election
violence, the goal of a cohesive and disciplined fighting force is still
far from reality.
By: Mohsen Milani | Feature
Iran’s
late Ayatollah Ali Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani left a powerful but mixed
legacy. During his career he justified repression and catered to
extremists, but was also often a voice of moderation. His death comes at
a critical juncture in Iranian politics, leaving an uncertain fate for
reform.
By: Ellen Laipson | Column
When
it comes to Iran, as on other issues, the views of Donald Trump’s
Cabinet nominees do not suggest an easy consensus about how to
transition from the president-elect’s brash campaign promises—to cancel
the Iran nuclear agreement, for example—to the messy world of
less-than-ideal policy options.
By: The Editors | Trend Lines
Earlier
this month, Morocco’s ambassador to Iran presented his credentials in
Tehran, restoring ties between the two countries that Rabat severed in
2009 over what it called Iran’s interference in Morocco’s internal
affairs. In an email interview, Ann Wainscott discusses Morocco’s ties
with Iran.
By: Judah Grunstein | Column
Just
when it seemed like the EU’s troubles couldn’t get any worse, Donald
Trump rubbed salt in its wounds last week in an interview, lauding
Brexit, disparaging German Chancellor Angela Merkel, and deriding the EU
as a vehicle for German economic domination. But could Trump end up
being the EU’s savior?
By: The Editors | Trend Lines
Mexico
has one of the highest rates of inequality among developed countries,
according to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development,
with the richest 1 percent of the population owning almost half of the
country’s wealth. In an email interview, Patricio SolÃs discusses income
inequality in Mexico.
By: Damien Ma | Briefing
That
China is an export powerhouse is well established. Less remarked upon
is the rise of its newest export: capital. During his speech at the
World Economic Forum this week—the first by a Chinese
president—President Xi Jinping touted China’s efforts in facilitating
global trade and economic development.
By: Frida Ghitis | Column
Americans
are watching with great interest to see how exactly the Trump
administration manages bilateral ties with Russia and how Donald Trump
deals with Russian President Vladimir Putin. This is not a positive
development for the incoming president, given Americans’ deep distrust
of Moscow and Putin.
By: The Editors | Trend Lines
Last
year, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan called women who work
“half persons,” sparking outrage among many liberal Turks, though his
statement resonated with the country’s conservative majority. In an
email interview, Melinda Negrón-Gonzales discusses women’s rights and
gender equality in Turkey.
By: The Editors | Trend Lines
In
this week’s Trend Lines podcast, WPR’s editor-in-chief, Judah Grunstein,
and senior editor, Frederick Deknatel, discuss U.S. President Donald
Trump’s foreign policy agenda. For the Report, Mohsen Milani talks about
former President Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani’s lasting influence on
Iranian politics.
By: Steven Metz | Column
America’s
adversaries are almost certain to challenge President Donald Trump
early on to test his inexperience in national security affairs. How he
and his team respond will determine whether other adversaries mount
challenges of their own. What is unclear is which of America’s
adversaries will move first.