Michele Kearney's Nuclear Wire
Major Energy and Environmental News and Commentary affecting the Nuclear Industry.
Saturday, August 12, 2023
It’s Time to Modernize America’s Nuclear Power Policy | The National Interest
It’s Time to Modernize America’s Nuclear Power Policy | The National Interest: The opening of a new nuclear power plant underscores the heavy regulatory burden blocking clean energy.
San Jose Considers Creating Its Own Utility Company
San Jose Considers Creating Its Own Utility Company: San Jose Considers Creating Its Own Utility Company - EnergyPortal.eu
Goodbye, PG&E... hello, "San Jose Power"?
Goodbye, PG&E... hello, "San Jose Power"?: Goodbye, PG&E... hello, "San Jose Power"?
Gov. Pritzker vetoes bill that would have allowed new nuclear construction
Gov. Pritzker vetoes bill that would have allowed new nuclear construction: The bill earned more votes than the three-fifths majority needed to override Pritzker's veto.
Friday, August 11, 2023
Embracing the 21st-century atomic energy age
Embracing the 21st-century atomic energy age: As the United States grapples with the challenges of energy production, economic growth, and national security, the time has come to unleash the true potential of nuclear energy. Increased zero-carbon emission nuclear power is necessary for an “all of the above” domestic energy solution to the 21st…
The Death of Anti-Nuclearism | The Breakthrough Institute
The Death of Anti-Nuclearism | The Breakthrough Institute: The Breakthrough Institute is an environmental research center based in Berkeley, California. Our research focuses on identifying and promoting…
UNCERTAIN WATERS -
UNCERTAIN WATERS - micheletkearney@gmail.com - Gmail
Hello from Tokyo. The Japanese government is in the final stages of preparing for the release of wastewater from the crippled Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant. Ministers are continuously holding meetings with local communities, while Prime Minister Fumio Kishida is scheduled to meet the presidents of the U.S. and South Korea later this month to ensure their support for Japan's decision.
Despite the government's repeated assurances that the treated water is safe, as confirmed by the International Atomic Energy Agency, people living along Japan's northern Pacific coast, and some in neighboring countries, remain skeptical. This week's Big Story focuses on the lingering anxieties of stakeholders, including a seafood business owner, a fisherman and the owner of a beach shack.
For Tokyo Electric Power Co. (TEPCO), the plant's operator, releasing the wastewater is "unavoidable" and "necessary" for the rebuilding of Fukushima because the tanks currently holding the water are already at 97% capacity, and storing it is taking up too much space and hindering plans to decommission the plant. However the story highlights the issue of trust, rather than the question of the scientific safety of the water release itself, as the company's actions after the 2011 disaster left many people questioning its trustworthiness.
Among neighboring countries, China has been the most vocal in opposing the release of the water. Beijing still restricts food imports from 10 Japanese prefectures, a measure introduced in 2011, and Hong Kong is considering reinstating a seafood ban if the water is flushed into the Pacific. However, on Thursday Beijing announced that it would lift a ban on group travel to Japan, a move that could boost inbound tourism, given that Chinese tourists made up the largest share of foreign visitors before the pandemic.
As I have pointed out many times in this newsletter, the Japanese government is seeking to arrange a summit meeting between Kishida and Xi Jinping this year, which coincides with the 45th anniversary of the signing of the Treaty of Peace and Friendship between the two countries. With no prospect of China softening its stance on the issue of the treated water release, China still seems to be sending mixed signals.
While Japan's tourism industry eagerly awaits the return of Chinese visitors, one of the drivers of the country's foreign tourist rebound is the weaker yen. This is mainly attributed to the widening interest rate differentials between Japan and the U.S. Now Kazuo Ueda, the governor of the Bank of Japan, has finally begun to adjust the central bank's decadelong monetary policy put in place by his predecessor, Haruhiko Kuroda, to stop the depreciation of the currency. But despite these efforts, the yen is still weak. Our Market Spotlight explains why the BOJ cannot reverse the trend.
Politics and cinema have long been intertwined in many countries. Our Asia Insight looks at an Indian film "The Kashmir Files," which depicts the Hindu exodus from Muslim-majority Kashmir in the early 1990s and was praised by Prime Minister Narendra Modi for telling "the truth" about the historical episode. The story raises the question of how the government is attempting to win over voters' hearts and minds during an election season using the power of film in India, which is known as Asia's film powerhouse.
When it comes to reaching the hearts and minds of young people, TikTok is unquestionably the platform of choice these days. More than just an endless collection of short videos to enjoy in your spare time, it is becoming a highly influential business tool. According to our Business Spotlight, TikTok is emerging as one of Southeast Asia's most prominent e-commerce platforms, with sales growing sevenfold in one year as it attracts a wave of young, tech-savvy users with shopping and entertainment features.
From the Life & Arts section, John Krich's book review of "Daughter of the Dragon" tells the story of Chinese American film star Anna May Wong, who played leading roles in the glamorous Hollywood film fantasies of the 1920s and 1930s while struggling against racial stereotypes. Wong recently became the first Asian American to be honored on U.S. currency - a 25 cent piece bearing her image is part of the U.S. Mint's American Women Quarters Program.
Lastly, I would like to inform you that there will be no newsletter from me next week. We will not be publishing the magazine, either, and I will be taking a short summer break. But there will still be plenty of fresh stories on our website. Enjoy.
Wishing you a wonderful weekend!
Shin Nakayama
Editor-in-chief, Nikkei Asia
HAROLD PINTER HAD IT RIGHT - Seymour Hersh
HAROLD PINTER HAD IT RIGHT - Seymour Hersh: Lessons in Western self-sabotage from the Ukraine War
Thursday, August 10, 2023
The Infuriating Climate Alarm – OffGuardian
The Infuriating Climate Alarm – OffGuardian: Iain Davis In the UK, we all know that this summer has been rubbish. We had a few weeks of glorious sunshine in June and since then it’s been bloody miserable. It’s been cold, wet and t…
USNC Boosts MMR Power, Flexibility, and Value
USNC Boosts MMR Power, Flexibility, and Value: * A technology breakthrough in our patented FCM fuel allows a fuel geometry that results in both higher power and increased safety, enabling the MMR to make three times more power.
* The MMR can use LEU or HALEU and operate at various power levels to serve a range of customers with
US regulator ready for new nuclear, says NRC | Reuters Events | Nuclear
US regulator ready for new nuclear, says NRC | Reuters Events | Nuclear: The NRC is under pressure to show it can move fast on a new generation of nuclear technology, including small modular reactors (SMRs) and other previously untested designs, as many in the industry call for deep reforms at the regulator. The regulator must be willing to remove operational and organizational barriers that are in the way of rapid and efficient licensing and
RELEASE: Organizations Call on NRC to… | The Breakthrough Institute
RELEASE: Organizations Call on NRC to… | The Breakthrough Institute: The Breakthrough Institute is an environmental research center based in Berkeley, California. Our research focuses on identifying and promoting…
A coup in Niger may give uranium-rich Canada its moment to shine
A coup in Niger may give uranium-rich Canada its moment to shine: As nations move away from Russia’s civilian nuclear power supply chain Canada can easily step in as the 4th largest producer of uranium in the world, writes David Olive
Developers added 16.8 GW of US utility-scale generating capacity in H1 2023 - EIA
Developers added 16.8 GW of US utility-scale generating capacity in H1 2023 - EIA: In the first half of 2023, developers added 16.8 GW of new utility-scale electric generating capacity to the US power grid, according to the US Energy Info
Inside MIT’s nuclear reactor laboratory | MIT Technology Review
Inside MIT’s nuclear reactor laboratory | MIT Technology Review: This article is from The Spark, MIT Technology Review’s weekly climate newsletter. To receive it in your inbox every Wednesday, sign up here. Tucked away behind a brick building on MIT’s campus sits a nuclear reactor. I’ve been hearing about this facility for over a decade, and it’s taken on a somewhat mythic quality in…
Biden to Designate Monument Near Grand Canyon, Preventing Uranium Mining - The New York Times
Biden to Designate Monument Near Grand Canyon, Preventing Uranium Mining - The New York Times: Uranium extraction had already been restricted in the area, which Native tribes consider sacred, but the moratorium was set to expire in 2032. Mr. Biden’s designation will make it permanent.
Wednesday, August 9, 2023
White House advances new NEPA rules. Will they stick? - E&E News by POLITICO
White House advances new NEPA rules. Will they stick? - E&E News by POLITICO: The proposed revamp of the National Environmental Policy Act would reverse Trump-era changes and streamline permitting for renewable energy projects. […]
PG&E CEO Proposes Using Electric Vehicles to Help the Grid
PG&E CEO Proposes Using Electric Vehicles to Help the Grid: PG&E CEO Proposes Using Electric Vehicles to Help the Grid - EnergyPortal.eu
PG&E CEO proposes using electric cars to send power back to California's grid to prevent blackouts - ABC7 San Francisco
PG&E CEO proposes using electric cars to send power back to California's grid to prevent blackouts - ABC7 San Francisco: PG&E's CEO Patricia Poppe has come up with an "unconventional" idea, using electric cars to send excess power back to the grid to prevent blackouts.
The Imminent Peak In Permian Oil: What Does it Mean For Investors? | OilPrice.com
The Imminent Peak In Permian Oil: What Does it Mean For Investors? | OilPrice.com: Permian Basin oil production is declining due to the decline in quality acreage, indicating an upcoming inflection point in production and implications for investors.
Tesla relies on China for 40% of battery supply chain: analysis - Nikkei Asia
Tesla relies on China for 40% of battery supply chain: analysis - Nikkei Asia: TOKYO -- Nearly 40% of the suppliers for materials used in Tesla's electric vehicle batteries are Chinese companies, a Nikkei analysis finds, und
Major Electric Vehicle Company Promoted by Biden Declares Bankruptcy | The Epoch Times
Major Electric Vehicle Company Promoted by Biden Declares Bankruptcy | The Epoch Times: Proterra, the California-based electric vehicle (EV) company touted by President Joe Biden, has filed...
Tuesday, August 8, 2023
The new 'tanker war' and US military escalation in the Persian Gulf - Responsible Statecraft
The new 'tanker war' and US military escalation in the Persian Gulf - Responsible Statecraft: Responsible Statecraft The new 'tanker war' and US military escalation in the Persian Gulf Analysis -
Could Electric Cars Help California's Power Grid? PG&E's Poppe Thinks So - Bloomberg
Could Electric Cars Help California's Power Grid? PG&E's Poppe Thinks So - Bloomberg: PG&E Corp. Chief Executive Officer Patti Poppe has an unconventional idea for California’s fragile power grid as climate-related disasters, wildfires and heat waves further strain it. She envisions a future where electric vehicles come to the rescue, feeding excess power back during peak demand to stave off blackouts.
UK adds security conditions to EDF purchase of GE unit : Nuclear Policies - World Nuclear News
UK adds security conditions to EDF purchase of GE unit : Nuclear Policies - World Nuclear News: The UK government has imposed measures to mitigate national security concerns arising from the purchase by EDF of GE Steam Power Limited and GE Oil & Gas Marine and Industrial UK Limited.
Groups call on US regulator to finalise advanced reactor rules : Regulation & Safety - World Nuclear News
Groups call on US regulator to finalise advanced reactor rules : Regulation & Safety - World Nuclear News: The Breakthrough Institute, Clean Air Task Force, ClearPath, Nuclear Innovation Alliance, and Third Way say delays in finalising a regulatory rulemaking on risk-informed emergency preparedness has already caused significant regulatory uncertainty for developers.
Anti-nuclear zealots are still fighting to cripple California's grid | Washington Examiner
Anti-nuclear zealots are still fighting to cripple California's grid | Washington Examiner: Nothing quite defines the present state of California more than a debate about whether keeping the lights on for residents is worth the money.
Globe editorial: Nuclear and the cost of clean power - The Globe and Mail
Globe editorial: Nuclear and the cost of clean power - The Globe and Mail: Amid the urgency to clean up power grids and add capacity to fuel sectors like transportation, Ontario is betting big on nuclear
DARPA and NASA Aim to Test Nuclear Rocket by 2026 - IEEE Spectrum
DARPA and NASA Aim to Test Nuclear Rocket by 2026 - IEEE Spectrum: The engine would drastically shorten trips to the moon and Mars
Interview: Introducing the International Bank for Nuclear Infrastructure | Energy Intelligence
Interview: Introducing the International Bank for Nuclear Infrastructure | Energy Intelligence: International Bank for Nuclear Infrastructure Strategic Advisory Group Chairman Daniel Dean and board member Elina Teplinsky discuss the conceptual multilateral international financing institution.
Ukraine Nuclear Plants Fully Operational for Winter: Operator
Ukraine Nuclear Plants Fully Operational for Winter: Operator: Ukraine currently has three power stations with a total of nine reactors in the territory under its control.
France Is Europe’s Top Power Exporter as Germany Turns Importer - Bloomberg
France Is Europe’s Top Power Exporter as Germany Turns Importer - Bloomberg: France has overtaken Sweden to become Europe’s top net power exporter, while Germany has moved from exporter to importer during the first half of this year.
Bill Gates-backed nuclear contender Terra Power aims to build dozens of UK reactors - CityAM
Bill Gates-backed nuclear contender Terra Power aims to build dozens of UK reactors - CityAM: A Bill Gates-backed clean energy player is hoping to build dozens of nuclear reactors in the UK and will compete with global rivals.
A Star is Born, as Plant Vogtle Nuclear Expansion Enters Service
A Star is Born, as Plant Vogtle Nuclear Expansion Enters Service: A Star is Born, as Plant Vogtle Nuclear Expansion Enters Service
Organizations Call on NRC to Act on Delayed Rule
Organizations Call on NRC to Act on Delayed Rule: The Breakthrough Institute, Clean Air Task Force, ClearPath, Nuclear Innovation Alliance and Third Way urge NRC to implement Congressionally-mandated...
Monday, August 7, 2023
(1) New Facebook Files Expose Biden Censorship-For-Spying Scheme
(1) New Facebook Files Expose Biden Censorship-For-Spying Scheme
Internal emails reveal that fear among Facebook executives over losing White House support in EU privacy case was behind greater censorship
bne IntelliNews - MOSCOW BLOG: Budget revenues surge as Russia completes switch to Asian oil markets
bne IntelliNews - MOSCOW BLOG: Budget revenues surge as Russia completes switch to Asian oil markets: Everyone got very excited when the budget numbers for December and January came out and showed huge deficits. New oil sanctions came into effect in ...
AEOI head outlines Iranian nuclear energy targets : New Nuclear - World Nuclear News
AEOI head outlines Iranian nuclear energy targets : New Nuclear - World Nuclear News: Atomic Energy Organization of Iran head Mohammad Eslami said the country is looking to increase its nuclear power generation capacity to 20 GWe. The country's first nuclear power plant, Bushehr, has now generated more than 60 billion kilowatt-hours, he told a parliamentary council.
Russia has turned Europe's largest nuclear plant into a military base, but IAEA says there's no signs it rigged the reactors to explode | Business Insider India
Russia has turned Europe's largest nuclear plant into a military base, but IAEA says there's no signs it rigged the reactors to explode | Business Insider India: The IAEA said Friday it found no evidence of explosives on the Zaporizhzhya Nuclear Power Plant.Ukrainian officials had reported seeing objects that could
America is heavily reliant on Russia for nuclear fuel. Congress might change that. - The Washington Post
America is heavily reliant on Russia for nuclear fuel. Congress might change that. - The Washington Post: Before leaving town last month, the Senate took a key step toward bolstering domestic uranium supply chains and displacing the Kremlin as a key supplier.
U.S. nuclear power leadership started with Oppenheimer - Washington Times
U.S. nuclear power leadership started with Oppenheimer - Washington Times: For many, this past weekend started with the release of the film "Oppenheimer" and the story that changed forever how countries fortify their national defense.
Nuclear fusion net energy gain hit by U.S. scientists for second time
Nuclear fusion net energy gain hit by U.S. scientists for second time: Scientists have worked for decades to develop nuclear fusion as a source of effectively limitless clean energy.
US scientists repeat fusion ignition breakthrough for 2nd time | Reuters
US scientists repeat fusion ignition breakthrough for 2nd time | Reuters: U.S. scientists have achieved net energy gain in a fusion reaction for the second time since December, the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory said on Sunday.
Sunday, August 6, 2023
US discusses ‘creative ways’ to help Mongolia export rare earths | South China Morning Post
US discusses ‘creative ways’ to help Mongolia export rare earths | South China Morning Post: The landlocked nation is dependent on goodwill from neighbours China and Russia to get critical minerals to the world market.
What Does China's Stimulus Plan Mean For Rare Earths? | OilPrice.com
What Does China's Stimulus Plan Mean For Rare Earths? | OilPrice.com: China’s stimulus plan could help prop up struggling rare earth prices thanks to a boost in demand.
Russia's ghost fleet: Moscow's new oil routes
Russia's ghost fleet: Moscow's new oil routes
https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2023/08/06/russia-s-ghost-fleet-moscow-s-new-oil-routes_6082264_4.html
Russia's ghost fleet: Moscow's new oil routes
By Julien Bouissou , Riccardo Pravettoni and Francesca Fattori August 6, 2023
Investigation
Since Europe's embargo on Russian oil exports, aging, clandestine tankers have been transporting oil and conducting transshipment operations from one vessel to another. Their destination is Asia, but the crude oil is sometimes re-exported to Europe after being refined.
An environmental disaster was narrowly averted on May 1, off the coast of Malaysia. On that day, the Pablo, an old tanker with a rusty hull capable of storing up to 700,000 barrels of oil, was sailing on calm seas just a few nautical miles from the small paradise island of Pulau Tinggi when its 232-meter-long, 42-meter-wide steel carcass was violently shaken by an explosion. "When I opened my cabin door, I saw smoke everywhere," said the ship's captain, Oleksandr Lepyoshkin, a few days later. "It looked like war, there were explosions everywhere and there was thick smoke suffocating us." Part of the hull was blown away by the explosion. Luckily, it was empty: The tanker had just unloaded its cargo in China. For three long days, the Malaysian coastguard circled helplessly around the smoking wreck, not daring to approach for fear of further explosions. Of the 28 crew members, two Indians and one Ukrainian were not found.
The Pablo intrigued the coast guards. At 27, it is unusually old for a tanker, which rarely sail for more than 20 or 25 years. On the verge of being scrapped in 2018, it was bought at the last minute by an Indian specialist in end-of-life vessels, who renamed and stripped it. It changed owners several times, was struck off by several flag states following its involvement in circumventing sanctions against Iran, before finally being registered in Gabon, a flag state known for its lax regulations.
According to data Le Monde received from Kpler, a firm specializing in maritime data analysis, the Pablo was carrying a highly polluting heavy fuel oil used as fuel or to generate electricity, especially in Asia. After a long period of transporting fuel oil from Iran, which is under sanctions, the latest shipment most probably came from Russia, according to Kpler, via several transshipments on the high seas: First in the Strait of Gibraltar, south of Spain, then near Malaysia from the vessel Ocean Hermana.
The number of clandestine vessels specialized in circumventing sanctions, like the Pablo, is increasing. According to estimates, they represent 10-20% of the total transport capacity of the world's tanker fleet, or between 300 and 600 vessels. Previously accustomed to dropping their anchors off Iran, Venezuela or North Korea, these tankers have been in high demand since the European Union imposed an embargo on Russian oil imports in December 2022. At the same time, G7 countries prohibited their companies from insuring or providing the slightest service to a company transporting Russian oil sold at over $60 a barrel. This measure was designed to prevent oil prices from escalating, while at the same time limiting Moscow's revenues. In a shipping industry where Western companies are indispensable, as in insurance and certification, it is virtually impossible for Russia to sell its oil for less than $60 unless it is transported clandestinely.
Higher risk of damage
Transshipment operations, as practiced by so-called ghost tankers, often serve to conceal the origin of the oil being transported. Ships switch off their AIS transponders, a navigation system that sends information on their position and speed, to conceal transshipments. Some even send false information about their location. The Israeli start-up Windward has calculated that the number of ships departing from Russia that have switched off their AIS transponders rose by 75% worldwide between the first and second quarters, and even by 140% in the Black Sea over this period. A vessel that switches off its transponder is no longer visible on radar, and is therefore more dangerous as it risks being collided with. For these older-than-average vessels, registered under lax flag states, the risks of damage are higher.
These oil freebooters give insurers cold sweats. "If one of them collides with one of our insured vessels and they are at fault, then we can't be compensated, and vice versa," said Justus Heinrich, global head of marine insurance products at Allianz, "And if it has an accident and causes an oil spill, no liability insurer will pay for the rescue or the remediation of environmental damage." The owners are just as ghostly as their ships. It's impossible to trace the owner of the Pablo, hidden behind a shell company registered in the Marshall Islands. There's also no trace of the company in charge of the technical inspection or the insurer. At the end of June, the Pablo was still rusting away at the entrance to the Singapore Strait, waiting to be towed away.
Beyond the rise of clandestine fleets, the EU embargo has also redrawn the maritime routes of Russian oil, whose share of European imports has dropped from 31% in January 2022 to 3% in March 2023. With new outlets in Asia, these routes have lengthened by around 20 days, while Europe has to source supplies from further afield, such as the US, Brazil or Angola. "The longer distances have increased transport times and therefore the demand for tankers, which in turn has led to higher freight and vessel prices," said Matthew Wright, an analyst at Kpler.
Source: Kpler
Infographic Le Monde : Francesca Fattori and Riccardo Pravettoni
Map produced with the help of Homayoun Falakshahi, senior oil analyst at Kpler.
Logistics have also had to be reinvented. As Russian ports in the eastern Baltic Sea cannot accommodate the giant tankers used for long-distance voyages, hubs have sprung up off the coasts of Greece and Spain, where large ships pick up the cargo of smaller vessels. "Kalamata, off the Greek coast, has become a major hub for maritime traffic, because that is where ships leaving Russian ports on the Black Sea and the Baltic Sea meet on their way to Asia." Another advantage is the local presence of numerous Greek shipping companies.
Name changes
With the lengthening of routes, a shortage of ships looms on the horizon, especially since some carriers are refusing to serve Russia to avoid damaging their reputation."The risk of taking on sanctioned cargo has increased since the sanctions on Russian products have been introduced, and the so-called ghost fleet is a matter of concern for us, it means that there is a growing number of vessels we need to be concerned about when doing business," said Maersk Tankers, which has decided that its 150 vessels will no longer go to Russia. But where is it possible to find ships to transport Russian oil, even legally? This multi-billion-dollar problem was quickly solved.
A Frenchman saw an opportunity to make a fortune, albeit at the risk of indirectly fueling the Russian war effort. A graduate of the Edhec business school, Mathieu Philippe first worked in Geneva and then in Dubai, where he specialized in shipping before co-founding Fractal Shipping in 2022, which transports millions of barrels of crude oil from Russian ports to Asia. When contacted by Le Monde, a lobbyist who answered on his behalf. Grace Fenstermaker works for the firm Geopols, whose mission, as its website states, is to "inform, influence and transform opinions" to help "companies, corporations and high-net-worth individuals manager their worldwide reputations."
Are Russian investors financing Philippe's company in order to secure the transport of their oil? Fractal Shipping has only just confirmed that it transports Russian oil, without revealing the identity of its shareholders or investors, or the number of vessels it operates or owns. According to the Equasis database, Fractal Shipping manages a fleet of at least 24 tankers, all of which sail almost exclusively to Russia. Some of these are covered by both Western and Russian (Ingosstrakh) insurance, should the Western company discover a sanctions violation and refuse compensation in the event of an accident.
The charterer specifies that it scrupulously respects all international sanctions regimes, and supposedly respects rigorous standards in terms of safety. Unlike clandestine vessels, Fractal Shipping is one of those murky companies specializing in the risky transport of Russian oil, but which do not violate sanctions because they buy below $60 a barrel.
The last thing they need is to attract attention, as Gatik found out the hard way. Between November 2022 and March, this company, based in a cubbyhole-sized office in a Bombay shopping mall, acquired nearly 60 vessels for an estimated $1.4 billion. This excessive appetite aroused suspicion: Between April and June, several certification companies, such as Lloyd's Register and the American Bureau of Shipping, as well as reputable insurers like The American Club, stopped providing services to several dozen of the company's tankers. "The mere fact that a ship is carrying Russian oil does not mean that it is illegal or in violation of sanctions," Daniel Tadros, head of The American Club, told Le Monde. "A shipment is legal as long as we receive a certificate proving that the oil was purchased below the price cap." Since then, Gatik has transferred ownership of its vessels to a multitude of companies that regularly change their names to remain unnoticed.
'Huge margin'
"Don't get the wrong idea," said Windward boss Ami Daniel. "It's not the clandestine vessels so much as the traders who are hijacking the sanctions, for the simple reason that they buy and sell the oil." Since Switzerland, a world center for commodity traders, implemented Western sanctions, many of them have left Geneva for the air-conditioned towers of Dubai. Located at the tip of the Arabian Peninsula, between Asia and Africa, the port is ideally situated on the new Russian oil route, which has extended to China via Saudi Arabia and India. Dubai is also a tax haven for gold dealers and Russian oligarchs, protected by banking secrecy. In other words, it's an ideal location for traders seeking discretion, who rent offices in the huge free zone of the Dubai Multi Commodities Center, a district of glass towers and shopping malls.
Business intelligence firm Diligencia tells Le Monde that there have been numerous companies specializing in Russian oil trading in the region since 2022. For example, it cites Tejarinaft FZCO, the brand-new company set up in 2022 by the Moroccan businessman Hicham Fizazi, as well as Coral Energy DMCC, Marshal Shipping LLC, Everest Energy DMCC and Petroruss DMCC. These new traders, domiciled in the United Arab Emirates, bought a third of the Russian oil exported worldwide, i.e. $17 billion, between January and April. Much of this is delivered elsewhere.
The relocation from Geneva to Dubai is not without risk. Swiss authorities suspect that Paramount Energy & Commodities SA, one of Switzerland's leading traders in Russian oil, headed by Dutchman Niels Troost, has continued to transport oil above the authorized ceiling price, through a Dubai-based company with an eerily similar name, Paramount Energy & Commodities DMCC. A Financial Times investigation published in March showed how the same trader used the company to continue transporting oil from Russia, purchased at over $60 a barrel, via certain vessels insured with Western insurance companies. Troost rejects these accusations.
Traders would be the main beneficiaries of sanctions circumventions, according to Daniel: "Let's say you're a trader in Dubai and you buy Russian oil, you hire an old tanker to transport toward Malaysia, then you store it there for a month in an offshore tanker for a million dollars, then you transfer the oil to a second, then a third ship, falsify the documents for $100,000 and resell the whole thing in the West at a huge profit."
First destination: India
It is partly thanks to these traders that Russian oil exports to India have increased tenfold since the start of the country's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. In May, India was buying 40.4% of its imported oil from Russia, compared with just 2% before the conflict. These supplies would have saved it more than $7 billion between April 2022 and May, thanks to the low price of Russian hydrocarbons, subject to sanctions. In just a few months, India has dethroned the European Union as the leading recipient of Russian hydrocarbons while taking Russia's place in supplying Europe with petroleum products. In other words, India has become the main "launderer" of Russian oil banned in Europe, but re-exports it in the form of diesel or gas oil after refining it on its own soil.
Figures from the Indian Ministry of Commerce show that Indian exports of petroleum products to Europe rose from $287 million in April 2021 to $1 billion in April. It's big business that indirectly benefits Russia, since India's second-largest refinery, at Vadinar in the west of the country, is operated by Nayara Energy, which is 49.13% owned by the Russian energy company Rosneft. This position is fully assumed by the world's third-largest oil consumer, which relies heavily on imports. "A part of what India buys is refined and is bought by Europe," said Jawed Ashraf, India's ambassador to France, "our purchases and exports help to stabilize the international oil market."
But not all Russian oil is sold below the ceiling price of $60. In early July, the average price of a barrel of so-called "Ural" crude oil, exported for the most part from Russia's Baltic Sea ports, rose slightly above the $60 threshold for two weeks, suggesting that the price imposed by the G7 was not being respected. "This means that Western companies have transported or ensured the transport of Russian oil even though this is forbidden," said Isaac Levi, analyst at the Finland-based Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air (CREA), who pleads for "the oil price cap to be lowered, monitored and respected."
International sanctions have already cut Moscow's hydrocarbon revenues by around half, a pillar that used to contribute 45% of the state budget alone. But, aware of the high risks of sanctions being abused, the European Union tightened them on June 23, specifying that it would ban vessels from accessing its ports if they were suspected of carrying Russian crude oil purchased above the ceiling price, or if they "illegally jam, turn off or otherwise disable their navigation systems when transporting Russian crude oil." "Not only do those who violate sanctions in Europe risk little, apart from a ban on access to ports for a few months," said Windward boss Daniel, "but European countries don't have as many investigators as the UK or the US to detect such fraud." However, powerful artificial intelligence and data analysis tools make it possible to measure the cargo of ships based on their draft mark and to precisely track their itineraries.
"It is possible to identify the origin of every crude as its own unique set of compositions much like a human fingerprint," said Peter Kolding, vice president of Hafnia, the world's largest tanker operator, "however, most shipping countries don't have that kind of insight, nor is it customary for shipping documents to include that level of detail." "You can track the ships in the shadow fleet or ghost fleet, but it's very difficult to trace them back to the owners hidden behind shell companies," said Wright. The world of shipping ends where the world of offshore finance begins, where capital flows instantly and is much harder to track than oil tankers. "There's so much money at stake in the Russian oil trade," said Wright, "that there are also plenty of ways and skilled people to get around the sanctions."
Video source: Malaysia maritime enforcement agency – Malaysian Coast Guard
Biden Energy Secretary Secretly Consulted Top Chinese Energy Official Before SPR Release, Sales To Hunter Biden-Linked Chinese Energy Giant | ZeroHedge
Biden Energy Secretary Secretly Consulted Top Chinese Energy Official Before SPR Release, Sales To Hunter Biden-Linked Chinese Energy Giant | ZeroHedge: ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero
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