http://www.nytimes.com/2015/06/23/opinion/the-iran-deals-fatal-flaw.html?_r=0
Alan Kuperman, professor at UT-Austin, is claiming that the Iran deal would allow a "breakout time" of under three months:
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/ 06/23/opinion/the-iran-deals- fatal-flaw.html
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/
You can go through his back-of-the envelope engineering and judge for yourself.
Folks may recall Kuperman's last efforts, a rather amateurish report claiming physical security vulnerabilities in US nuclear plants making them vulnerable to terrorism:
http://www.utexas.edu/lbj/
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/
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