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Tuesday, December 3, 2019

USGS: ShakeOut Scenario Appendix D: Fault Crossing Tables


ShakeOut Scenario Appendix D: Fault Crossing Tables
By Daniel Ponti1 and Jerome Treiman2
USGS Open File Report 2008-1150, Appendix D CGS Preliminary Report 25D
2008
U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey
California Department of Conservation California Geological Survey
Data Sorting and Aggregation by Gene A. Nelson, Ph.D.
December 3, 2019
12/3/2019 Page 2 of 11 12/3/2019
Gene A. Nelson, Ph.D.
Table 2. Railroads and Transit Lines Impacted by Faulting from the ShakeOut Scenario Earthquake
Railroad Name
Atchison Topeka Santa Fe RR
Southern Pacific Railroad Southern Pacific Railroad Southern Pacific Railroad Southern Pacific Railroad Southern Pacific Railroad Southern Pacific Railroad
Southern Pacific Railroad
Totals
Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics data (NTAD
Location (Lon/Lat, WGS84)
-117.457923 34.269031
-115.920686 33.513766 -115.919193 33.512275 -115.918182 33.511548 -115.917310 33.510597 -115.915419 33.508817 -115.900514 33.492495
-115.732240 33.358941
2004). Information dates
Fault Slip (meters)
Length Within Fault Zone (meters)
Total Length Within Fault Zone
(meters) Count
Southern Pacific Railroad Southern Pacific Railroad Southern Pacific Railroad Southern Pacific Railroad Southern Pacific Railroad
-118.114221 34.551569 3.12 -118.113855 34.550821 1.48 -118.107154 34.541421 0.22 -118.080939 34.553293 0.04 -117.459627 34.269625 4.00
84
58
80
115
64 4011
FRA ADDED -116.538486 33.892328 0.57 87
FRA ADDED -116.536945 33.891792 0.49 222 309 1
41 411 8.30 111
8.30 302 8.30 61 8.30 208 8.20 324 0.86 179
3.90
4.00
Eagle Mountain Railroad -115.849463 33.452864 12.00 87
Eagle Mountain Railroad -115.838868 33.450439 1.24 47 134 1
1,185 1 40 401
2,327 2,327 7
Metrolink - Antelope Valley Line Metrolink - Antelope Valley Line Metrolink - Antelope Valley Line Metrolink - Antelope Valley Line
-118.113671 34.550757 1.48 66
-118.107136 34.541415 0.22 80
-118.113974 34.551530 3.12 47
-118.113857 34.551227 1.41 24
217 1
from 2004 and may not reflect current conditions
12/3/2019 Page 3 of 11 12/3/2019
Gene A. Nelson, Ph.D.
Table 3. Aqueducts Impacted by Faulting from the ShakeOut Scenario Earthquake
Source: Aqueduct locations digitized from
Aqueduct Name
Los Angeles Aqueduct
2005 NAIP Imagery and USGS 7.5’ Quadrangle Maps
Location
(Lon/Lat, WGS84)
-118.43482 34.67280
Fault Slip (meters)
Length Within Fault Zone (meters)
Total Length Within Fault Zone (meters)
Count
3.30
41 41 1
California Aqueduct California Aqueduct California Aqueduct California Aqueduct California Aqueduct California Aqueduct California Aqueduct California Aqueduct California Aqueduct California Aqueduct California Aqueduct
-118.18241 34.57897 -118.17032 34.56934 -118.15633 34.56342 -118.15024 34.56096 -118.14936 34.56048 -118.09613 34.53505 -118.09119 34.53656 -118.06739 34.53180 -118.06664 34.53188 -118.06472 34.53227 -118.06442 34.53232
3.50 130 0.25 273 0.24 215 0.23 115 0.22 81 0.13 77 0.04 361 0.07 57 2.80 124 0.21 13 0.21 44
1,490 1
North Fork Canal North Fork Canal North Fork Canal North Fork Canal
Colorado River Aqueduct Colorado River Aqueduct
-117.14184 34.11779 -117.13767 34.11524 -117.13218 34.11261 -117.10931 34.10482
-116.67451 33.93411 -116.66500 33.93416
5.30 327 5.30 119 5.60 131 5.40 112
1.28 127 0.46 45
689 1
172 1
Bear Valley High Line Aqueduct Bear Valley High Line Aqueduct Bear Valley High Line Aqueduct Bear Valley High Line Aqueduct Bear Valley High Line Aqueduct
-117.09316 34.09916 -117.05719 34.08464 -117.05160 34.08722 -117.05031 34.08775 -117.04835 34.08817
4.14 41
0.46 52
1.96 53
1.47 71
0.98 121
338 1
Coachella Canal Coachella Canal Coachella Canal Coachella Canal Coachella Canal Coachella Canal Coachella Canal Coachella Canal
-116.18633 33.74035 -116.18547 33.73979 -116.18383 33.73899 -116.17240 33.73004 -116.12625 33.68969 -116.12503 33.68847 -115.97651 33.56599 -115.97212 33.56598
4.68 52 5.20 147 5.50 222 5.90 133 8.00 205 7.70 149 6.39 52 0.69 61
1,021 1
Totals
3,751
3,751 6
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Gene A. Nelson, Ph.D.
Table 4. Fiber Optic Communication Lines Impacted by Faulting from the ShakeOut Scenario Earthquake
Source: NGA, non-restricted platts data. Dataset from 2003 and earlier and may not reflect current conditions.
111
122
144
144
144
144
144
144
144
144
144
144
144
144
144
144
144
144
178
-117.44852 34.26332
-117.44852 34.26332
-117.68883 34.37859 -117.67907 34.37419 -117.67643 34.37335 -117.67441 34.37277 -117.67267 34.37217 -116.55852 33.90285 -116.55731 33.90266 -116.53130 33.89149 -116.53086 33.89127 -115.94330 33.53486 -115.93706 33.53187 -115.83615 33.44466 -115.83415 33.44191 -115.83384 33.44148 -115.83350 33.44102 -115.73393 33.36110 -118.05928 34.52054
51 51 1
Scenario-Assigned CompanyID Number
Location (Lon/Lat, WGS84)
Fault Slip (meters)
Length Within Fault Zone (meters)
Total Length Within Fault Zone (meters)
Count
101 -118.13264 34.56558 101 -118.13190 34.55900 101 -118.13094 34.55098 101 -117.44852 34.26332 101 -116.62927 33.92087 101 -116.62753 33.91998 101 -116.61919 33.91784 101 -116.61726 33.91742 101 -116.58905 33.91167 101 -116.58732 33.91131 101 -116.50601 33.88224 101 -116.15172 33.71040
0.34 43 2.95 83 0.30 51 2.80 51 0.75 49 0.69 327 0.63 217 0.72 150 0.74 194 0.70 136 0.62 161 6.70 70
1,532 1
2.80
51 51 1 6.40 162
2.80
6.39 79 7.20 170 7.00 226 6.60 120 0.58 14 0.53 214 0.48 41 0.59 53 7.20 88 0.79 230 1.24 329
11.16 85 11.16 26 1.24 95 4.50 47 0.07 35
1,979 1
12/3/2019 Page 5 of 11
12/3/2019
Gene A. Nelson, Ph.D.
Scenario-Assigned CompanyID Number
Location (Lon/Lat, WGS84)
-117.44852 34.26332
-117.44852 34.26332
Fault Slip (meters)
Length Within Fault Zone (meters)
Total Length Within Fault Zone (meters)
Count
1 1
178 -118.05899 34.52056 178 -118.04303 34.52166 178 -118.04121 34.52178 178 -118.03813 34.52199 178 -118.03107 34.52247
0.07 20
3.28 74
0.12 19
0.12 100
0.42 33
281 1
190
215
328
328
328
328
328
333
345
347
347
347
347
347
347
347
2.80
2.80
51 51
51 51
202 -118.13264 34.56558 202 -118.13190 34.55900 202 -118.13094 34.55098
0.34 43
2.95 83
0.30 51
177 1
223 -116.62927 33.92087 223 -116.62753 33.91998 223 -116.61919 33.91784 223 -116.61726 33.91742 223 -116.58905 33.91167 223 -116.58732 33.91131 223 -116.50601 33.88224 223 -116.15172 33.71040
0.75 49 0.69 327 0.63 217 0.72 150 0.74 194 0.70 136 0.62 161 6.70 70
1304 1
-117.68883 34.37859 -117.67907 34.37419 -117.67643 34.37335 -117.67441 34.37277 -117.67267 34.37217
-117.44852 34.26332
-117.44852 34.26332
-118.13264 34.56558 -118.13190 34.55900 -118.13094 34.55098 -117.44852 34.26332 -116.62927 33.92087 -116.62753 33.91998 -116.61919 33.91784
6.40 6.39 7.20 7.00 6.60
2.80
2.80
0.34 2.95 0.30 2.80 0.75 0.69 0.63
162
 79
170
226
120
757
1 1
1
328 -117.44852 34.26332 2.80 51 51
1
51 51
51
 43
 83
 51
 51
 49
327
217
51
12/3/2019 Page 6 of 11
12/3/2019
Gene A. Nelson, Ph.D.
Scenario-Assigned CompanyID Number
Location (Lon/Lat, WGS84)
-116.61726 33.91742 -116.58905 33.91167 -116.58732 33.91131 -116.50601 33.88224 -116.15172 33.71040
-117.44852 34.26332 -117.44852 34.26332
-117.44852 34.26332
-117.44841 34.26325
-118.13264 34.56558 -118.13190 34.55900 -118.13094 34.55098 -117.44852 34.26332
-117.45974 34.26971
-117.45974 34.26971
Fault Slip (meters)
Total Length Length Within Within
Fault Zone Fault Zone (meters) (meters)
0.72 150
0.74 194
0.70 136
0.62 161
6.70 70
1,532
2.80 51 51 2.80 51 51
2.80 51 51
2.80 51 51
0.34 43
2.95 83
0.30 51
2.80 51
228
4.00 61 61
4.00 61 61
Count
1
1 1
1
1
1
1
1
347
347
347
347
347
381 440
548
669
742
742
742
742
992
993
Totals
9,579 9,579 25
349 -117.68883 34.37859 349 -117.67907 34.37419 349 -117.67643 34.37335 349 -117.67441 34.37277 349 -117.67267 34.37217
6.40 162
6.39 79
7.20 170
7.00 226
6.60 120
757 1
430 -117.44852 34.26332 2.80 51 51
1
704 -117.44852 34.26332 2.80 51 51
1
808 -118.13264 34.56558 808 -118.13190 34.55900 808 -118.13094 34.55098 808 -116.15172 33.71040
0.34 43
2.95 83
0.30 51
6.70 70
247 1
12/3/2019 Page 7 of 11 12/3/2019 Gene A. Nelson, Ph.D.
Table 5. Oil and Gas Pipelines Impacted by Faulting from the ShakeOut Scenario Earthquake
Source: Techni Graphic Systems, Inc.,
Scenario-Assigned Company ID Number
         901
         901
         901
         901
         901
NPMS, and MMS. Information dates from 2004
and earlier and may not reflect current conditions
Location (Lon/Lat, WGS84)
-117.49124 34.28625 -117.47618 34.27897 -117.47542 34.27839 -117.49099 34.28615 -117.47597 34.27887
Fault Slip (meters)
Length Within Fault Zone (meters)
Total Length Within Fault Zone (meters)
Count
887 -115.78916 33.40997 887 -115.79323 33.41132 887 -115.79393 33.41156
8.26 138 3.54 106 3.66 35
279 1
7.00 6.10 5.80 7.00 6.10
420
166
 18
309
128
1,041 1
946 -118.11175 34.56816 946 -116.21507 33.76337 946 -116.55707 33.90257 946 -116.21461 33.76305 946 -116.55676 33.90247 946 -116.80736 33.93177 946 -116.82258 33.93253 946 -116.90648 33.93470 946 -116.53055 33.89132 946 -116.55294 33.90110 946 -116.55494 33.90172 946 -118.09124 34.55789 946 -118.14512 34.55783 946 -118.12858 34.55775 946 -118.11486 34.55782 946 -118.12921 34.55775 946 -118.09158 34.55804 946 -118.14534 34.55794 946 -118.11494 34.55790 946 -118.12927 34.55780 946 -117.46949 34.27562 946 -117.44295 34.25968 946 -117.27818 34.17476 946 -116.47527 33.89340 946 -116.47473 33.89128 946 -116.47516 33.89246 946 -116.47534 33.89400 946 -116.55396 33.92428 946 -116.55394 33.92238 946 -116.45800 33.85566 946 -116.54554 33.89700
0.08 38 4.30 191 0.53 208 4.30 233 0.53 207 1.20 53 0.96 53 0.04 91 0.59 64 0.45 366 0.53 33 0.05 81 0.22 64 3.12 14 0.39 46 2.95 102 0.05 85 0.22 78 0.39 26 2.95 115 5.30 69 1.30 55 4.90 44 0.04 41 1.62 73 0.02 44 0.04 45 0.05 42 1.07 46 0.06 44 0.43 48
2,699 1
Totals
4,019
4,019 3
12/3/2019 Page 8 of 11 ShakeOut Scenario Fault Crossing Tables Sorted and Aggregated - 2008.xlsx Gene A. Nelson, Ph.D.
Table 6. Electrical Transmission Lines Impacted by Faulting from the ShakeOut Scenario Earthquake
Source: NGA HSIP Gold database; no data creator identified. Information is from 2005 and earlier and may not reflect current conditions
Scenario-Assigned Company ID Number
Location (Lon/Lat, WGS84)
Fault Slip (meters)
Length Within Fault Zone (meters
Total Length Within Fault Zone (meters
Count
247 -116.16272 33.72073 247 -116.16272 33.72199 247 -116.09316 33.66165 247 -116.07123 33.64304 247 -116.06027 33.63582 247 -115.97746 33.56688 247 -115.97705 33.56994 247 -115.96654 33.55667 247 -115.96073 33.55484 247 -115.94310 33.53468 247 -115.93644 33.53113 247 -115.93581 33.53079
0.09 85 6.20 51 7.20 75 7.00 54 7.10 74 6.39 54 0.74 50 6.57 87 0.76 79 7.20 140 0.79 41 0.80 98
888 1
555
555
555
555
555
555
555
555
555
555
555
555
555
555
555
555
555
555
555
555
555
555
555
555
555
555
555
555
-118.34237 -118.34223 -118.34187 -118.34174 -118.34084 -118.34068 -118.33953 -118.33939 -118.22206 -118.22160 -118.22118 -118.22111 -118.22087 -118.22082 -118.22057 -118.22035 -118.17781 -118.16906 -118.15474 -118.15237 -118.14707 -118.14707 -118.14106 -118.13129 -117.46414 -117.46414 -117.37457 -117.33333
34.63746 34.63739 34.63829 34.63821 34.63995 34.63991 34.64160 34.64153 34.59535 34.59521 34.59508 34.59444 34.59451 34.59416 34.59422 34.59427 34.57279 34.57276 34.57257 34.57157 34.56515 34.56515 34.56782 34.56517 34.27206 34.27247 34.22090 34.20141
0.53 59 0.53 64 4.24 61 4.24 62 0.27 41 0.27 41 0.29 40 0.29 40 0.60 81 0.60 83 0.60 82 5.40 78 5.40 36 5.13 3 5.13 48 5.13 90 0.28 82 2.54 179 0.30 85 0.30 46 2.21 82 2.21 84 0.28 94 0.34 105 2.82 46 1.88 46 5.10 41 4.30 49
12/3/2019 Page 9 of 11 ShakeOut Scenario Fault Crossing Tables Sorted and Aggregated - 2008.xlsx
Gene A. Nelson, Ph.D.
Scenario-Assigned Company ID Number
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
Location (Lon/Lat, WGS84)
34.10388 34.06286 34.06282 34.06277 34.06251 34.06032 34.05548 34.05520 34.05457 34.04876 34.04818 34.04668 34.04137 34.04073 33.94479 33.94726 33.94733
33.94744 33.93440 33.93388 33.93397 33.93364 33.93320 33.93199 33.93232 33.93258 33.93335 33.93335 33.93300 33.93269 33.93303 33.93337 33.93340 33.93307 33.93281 33.93271 33.93317
Fault Slip (meters)
Length Within Fault Zone (meters
5.30 43
  1. 0.03  13
  2. 0.04  236
0.07 124 0.27 81 1.44 157 1.71 138 1.89 10 1.89 33 2.70 49 2.70 231 2.52 37 0.29 235 0.29 86 0.04 41 0.04 42 0.04 41
0.04 40 0.96 116 0.96 6 0.96 50 0.96 84 0.96 65 1.20 54 1.20 61 1.20 75 1.43 117 1.28 60 1.28 65 1.28 45 1.50 56 1.50 63 1.26 52 1.26 51 1.26 51 1.61 97 1.61 78
Total Length Within Fault Zone (meters
Count
-117.10520 -117.00605 -116.99979 -116.99725 -116.98648 -116.96969 -116.95455 -116.95382 -116.95219 -116.93859 -116.93724 -116.93364 -116.92092 -116.91937 -116.86951 -116.86511 -116.86495
-116.86475 -116.82399 -116.82360 -116.82325 -116.82320 -116.82298 -116.80712 -116.80654 -116.80610 -116.77055 -116.76959 -116.76878 -116.76793 -116.76424 -116.76379 -116.75686 -116.75653 -116.75629 -116.74139 -116.74033
12/3/2019 Page 10 of 11 ShakeOut Scenario Fault Crossing Tables Sorted and Aggregated - 2008.xlsx
Gene A. Nelson, Ph.D.
Scenario-Assigned Company ID Number
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
            555
Location (Lon/Lat, WGS84)
33.93340 33.93160 33.93131 33.93095 33.93094 33.93139 33.93112 33.93082 33.92724 33.92717 33.92709 33.92603 33.92584 33.92542 33.92170 33.92132 33.91779 33.91281 33.91239 33.93356 33.93318 33.93302 33.93267 33.93185 33.93267 33.93239 33.90922 33.92987 33.92981 33.92893 33.92883 33.92836 33.92830 33.92748
Fault Slip (meters)
Length Within Fault Zone (meters
      66
      74
      56
      21
      60
      63
      60
      57
      124
      28
      33
      43
      116
      128
      136
      50
      81
      259
      85
      108
      116
      115
      13
      42
      95
      47
      163
      67
      79
      72
      73
      64
      65
      57
Total Length Within Fault Zone (meters
Count
-116.73993 -116.66891 -116.66850 -116.66825 -116.66781 -116.66153 -116.66114 -116.66073 -116.65439 -116.65387 -116.65355 -116.64901 -116.64818 -116.64639 -116.63044 -116.62974 -116.61370 -116.59238 -116.59059 -116.58747 -116.58622 -116.58568 -116.58509 -116.58461 -116.58450 -116.58371 -116.58065 -116.57271 -116.57241 -116.57180 -116.57142 -116.57125 -116.57088 -116.56700
1.61 1.13 1.13 1.13 1.15 0.41 0.41 0.41 1.12 1.12 0.15 1.53 1.30 1.30 0.75 0.75 0.79 0.68 0.74 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.02 1.08 1.08 0.65 0.02 0.02 1.02 1.02 0.02 0.02 1.01
12/3/2019 Page 11 of 11 ShakeOut Scenario Fault Crossing Tables Sorted and Aggregated - 2008.xlsx
Gene A. Nelson, Ph.D.
Scenario-Assigned Company ID Number
Location (Lon/Lat, WGS84)
33.92711 33.92705 33.92205 33.91815 33.89365 33.89141 33.89003 33.91195 33.91155 33.86198 33.76851 33.76807 33.76784 33.76756 33.76566 33.74086
Fault Slip (meters)
Length Within Fault Zone (meters
1.01 191 0.06 24 1.07 27 0.95 139 0.57 78 0.48 55 0.65 147 2.07 104 2.07 122 0.20 130 3.70 90 3.70 75 3.70 2 4.00 125 4.00 154 4.68 147
Total Length Within Fault Zone (meters
Count
555
555
555
555
555
555
555
555
555
555
555
555
555
555
555
555
-116.56580 -116.56464 -116.55354 -116.54099 -116.54036 -116.53244 -116.52557 -116.52347 -116.52234 -116.47515 -116.22229 -116.22133 -116.22086 -116.22025 -116.21790 -116.18664
9,057 1
974 -118.37520 34.65017 974 -118.37484 34.65070 974 -118.37470 34.64979 974 -118.37444 34.65128 974 -118.37417 34.65055 974 -118.37383 34.65104 974 -118.01296 34.50928 974 -118.01138 34.50868 974 -118.01005 34.50791 974 -118.00212 34.50975 974 -118.00095 34.50907 974 -117.99933 34.50834 974 -117.47087 34.27634 974 -117.47064 34.27623
0.23 41 3.83 61 0.23 41 0.45 40 3.83 40 0.45 40 4.77 119 4.77 146 4.77 84 0.48 78 0.47 66 0.47 61 5.30 53 5.30 53
923 1
Totals
10,868
10,868 3

1 comment:

  1. From Gene Nelson: All: I've aggregated and sorted some fault crossing tables prepared for
    the 2008 "Shake Out Scenario."

    These tables validate that Southern California's Energy and Water
    Lifelines will be severely disrupted - likely for a long time after a
    large rupture of the southern section of the San Andreas Fault. Natural
    gas pipelines and aqueducts will be particularly hard hit.

    California's two large nuclear power plants were designed to withstand any
    credible earthquake.

    For the safety and welfare of southern California, Diablo Canyon should
    continue to operate well beyond 2025 and SONGS should be re-commissioned
    to provide life-sustaining electricity - and providing power to desalinate
    seawater to provide safe, clean drinking water while the aqueducts are
    repaired. As a first step, Diablo Canyon's desalination plant should be
    expanded by at least 100-fold to provide drinking water for the region
    near the plant.

    ReplyDelete