Michele Kearney's Nuclear Wire

Major Energy and Environmental News and Commentary affecting the Nuclear Industry.

Monday, April 27, 2015

FAS Roundup: April 27, 2015


FAS Roundup: April 27, 2015
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Russia Nuclear Forces, 2015


Currently, Russia is modernizing its strategic and nonstrategic warheads; it currently has 4,500 nuclear warheads and 1,780 are deployed on missiles and bomber bases. Additionally, there are 700 strategic warheads and 2,000 nonstrategic warheads in storage, and an estimated 3,200 retired but largely intact warheads awaiting dismantlement.

In the latest Nuclear Notebook, Hans Kristensen and Robert Norris examine Russia's nuclear arsenal and strategy. Despite Russian nuclear threats, they are not building up their arsenal, but appear to be leveling off the force within the next decade. However, there are many uncertainties about the future development of Russian nuclear forces. Available information indicates that Russia is continuing to reduce strategic nuclear launchers well below the limit set by the New START Treaty, and over the next decade all Soviet-era ICBMs will be retired. Depending on the extent of modernization plans over the next decade and how many missiles Russia can actually produce and deploy, the overall strategic force appears to be leveling off just below 500 launchers.

Read the FAS Nuclear Notebook here. 


From the Blogs


Russia Images the LACROSSE Spysat: A Russian satellite tracking facility in Siberia has produced rarely-seen photographs of a U.S. intelligence satellite. The U.S. Lacrosse radar satellite was captured in images generated at Russia’s Altay Optical Laser Center, apparently between 2005 and 2010. The images themselves seem to be mostly just a curiosity. But perhaps they underscore the growing visibility and the corresponding vulnerability of U.S. space-based assets.

Is China Planning to Build More Missile Submarines?: Over the past few months, several U.S. defense and intelligence officials have stated for the record that China is planning to build significantly more nuclear-powered missile submarines than previously assumed. Recently, the commander of US Pacific Command (PACOM), Admiral Samuel Locklear, stated that in addition to the three Jin-class SSBNs currently in operation, “up to five more may enter service by the end of the decade.” Production of five additional SSBNs by the end of the decade would require fielding one SSBN per year for the next five years, a production pace that China has yet to demonstrate. The first three Jin SSBNs took more than a decade to complete. Hans Kristensen writes that there are many questions related to the building of more subs, including the timetable and operation, as China does not have much experience operating SSBNs on lengthy patrols.
Nuclear Cooperation Agreements and Nonproliferation: Last week, President Obama sent to Congress the text of a proposed agreement with the People's Republic of China regarding cooperation in the peaceful uses of nuclear energy. Known as “123 agreements” based on section 123 of the Atomic Energy Act, such accords are intended to regulate international traffic in nuclear materials and technology. The existing agreement expires this year. Among several proliferation-related issues likely to be considered in finalizing the pending agreement are Chinese missile technology exports and its nuclear support to Pakistan.

Cybersecurity and Information Sharing and More from CRS: Secrecy News has obtained recently released CRS reports on topics such as FY16 appropriations for the Department of Justice, cybersecurity and information sharing and domestic human trafficking legislation in Congress.
 

FAS in the News

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