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Monday, November 18, 2013

ISO says natural gas dependence is key strategic risk


ISO says natural gas dependence is key strategic risk
 
press release
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
Contact:
Ellen Foley, ISO New England Inc.
(413) 535
-
4139
Marcia Blomberg, ISO New England Inc.
(413) 540
-
4555
Lacey Ryan, ISO New England Inc.
(413) 540
-
4483
ISO New England
Issues Statement on Entergy’s
Announcement to Retire Vermont Yankee Nuclear
Plant
Holyoke, MA
August 27
, 201
3
With the announcement today by Entergy Nuclear Power
Marketing that it intends to retire its Vermont Yankee Nuclear Power Station next year, ISO New England Inc.,
operator of the region’s high voltage power grid and wholesale electricity markets, offers the following
statement regarding the regional impacts of this decision. Entergy submitted its formal request to retire
Vermont Yankee earlier today. ISO New England has studied the needs of the high voltage power system serving Vermont and New Hampshire for more than four years, including analyses of scenarios with and without Vermont Yankee in service. While earlier studies showed that reliability could be affected
without Vermont Yankee, the most recent study in 2012 showed that the regional power grid
could be operated reliably without Vermont Yankee. This was due to new system conditions
including the development of some new resources acquired through the region’s capacity
market; completion of some previously planned transmission upgrades; and the demand
-reducing effects of energy efficiency measures. With Entergy’s formal request to retire
Vermont Yankee, this study will be updated.
 
Regardless of the outcome of these studies, the ISO does not have the authority to prevent a
resource from retiring. With a maximum capacity of more than 600 megawatts, Vermont Yankee
is among the region’s largest power plants and is one of four nuclear st
ations providing baseload power to New England. Overall, nuclear generation produced 31% of New England’s electricity in 2012.
 
Although the ISO, as the administrator of the region’s wholesale electricity markets, does not
favor any fuel or technology, the retirement of this large nuclear station will result in less fuel
diversity and greater dependence on natural gas as a fuel for power generation. The ISO has
identified New England’s dependence on natural gas for power generation and the potential
retirement of generators as key strategic risks, and is developing solutions to address these and
other strategic challenges.
 
Natural gas generated more than 52% of the energy produced in New England last y
ear, and the price of natural gas has declined significantly in New England with increasing production of
natural gas from the Marcellus shale in New York and Pennsylvania. With falling natural gas
prices, wholesale electricity prices in New England fell in 2012 by nearly 23%, to their lowest
levels since 2003, when markets in their current form were launched. 
 
Lower natural gas prices have resulted in lower electricity prices and less revenue for resources
in the energy market, while excess supply has dampened prices in the capacity market. These
fundamental economic dynamics demonstrate that these markets are competitive.
While lowerprices are beneficial for consumers, resource owners must base their business decisions on
whether to continue to compete based on their specific circumstances.
These economic forces are pushing other older, fossil-fuel-fired generators toward retirement,
which will only increase the region’s dependence on natural gas. The ISO is working with
market participants and the New England states to develop potential market enhancements,
including a pay for performance market mechanism that will create strong financial incentives
for generators to assure that they have adequate fuel arrangements to be able to produce
electricity when called on by the ISO
.
 

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