Why Fukushima death toll projections are based on junk science
http://www.marklynas.org/2012/
The
media is abuzz this morning with the first study attempting to quantify
expected cancer deaths which may result from Fukushima. Written by Ten
Hoeve and Mark Jacobson from Stanford University, the paper ‘Worldwide
health effects of the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear accident’ is published
in the journal Energy and Environmental Science (free PDF copy).
I will say upfront that I think the study is worse than useless.
Jacobson (Hoeve is a former PhD student of his) is a long-time
anti-nuclear and pro-renewables advocate, and (as I show below) clearly
has an agenda to raise further fears about the health impacts of
Fukushima and nuclear power in general. However, in this deeply flawed
paper he succeeds only in illustrating some of the absurdities in
current radiological protection models, and that one thing we know for
sure – even if those absurdities are ignored – is that the evacuation
killed more people than the accident.
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