Michele Kearney's Nuclear Wire

Major Energy and Environmental News and Commentary affecting the Nuclear Industry.
Showing posts with label South Asia. Show all posts
Showing posts with label South Asia. Show all posts

Sunday, January 2, 2011

Iran's Nuclear Domino Effect by Andrew Roberts

A former Bush defense official says that Saudi Arabia and Pakistan might initiate a dangerous alliance if Iran develops nuclear weapons. Andrew Roberts speaks to Eric Edelman about the unintended consequences for South Asia. 


Might the impending nuclearization of Iran rapidly lead to a situation in which India targets nuclear weapons on Saudi Arabia? That is one of the many unnerving repercussions envisaged in an authoritative article, “The Dangers of a Nuclear Iran,” in the current issue of Foreign Affairs, written by, among others, Eric Edelman, President George W. Bush’s undersecretary of defense for policy from 2005 to 2009. When an analyst of Edelman’s seniority and ability, who moreover was working in the Pentagon with full access to all the available intelligence on precisely this issue as recently as two years ago, pronounces on questions of this gravity it behooves us to pay serious attention.
More at:

http://www.thedailybeast.com/blogs-and-stories/2011-01-02/irans-nuclear-weapons-could-lead-to-a-saudi-and-pakistan-alliance
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Tuesday, December 21, 2010

Pakistan test fires nuclear-capable missile

http://www.spacewar.com/reports/Pakistan_test_fires_nuclear-capable_missile_999.html Islamabad (AFP) Dec 21, 2010 Pakistan on Tuesday successfully test fired a medium-range ballistic missile capable of carrying nuclear and conventional warheads, the military said. The military said in a statement that Ghauri Hatf 5, with a range of 1,300 kilometres (800 miles), could carry conventional and other warheads.
The launch was conducted by the Army Strategic Force command's strategic missile group at the end of a field-training exercise aimed at testing the force's operational readiness, the statement said.
Pakistan's Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gilani, Joint Chiefs of Staff Committee chairman General Khalid Shahmeem Wyne and other senior military officers and scientists witnessed the tests, it said.
"You have made the nation proud and we salute you for your outstanding work," Gilani told the scientists and engineers.
Gilani said Pakistan could be proud of its defence capability and the reliability of its nuclear deterrence. This capability, he added, formed the bedrock of Pakistan's security policy and will continue to be enhanced.
"The test amply demonstrates the credibility of our minimum deterrence strategy, which is the cornerstone of our security policy and ensures peace in the region," he said.
"It also sends the right signals internationally that Pakistan's defence capability is impregnable and should never be challenged."
Gilani said Pakistan was a responsible nation with an extremely reliable nuclear capability and did not harbor any aggressive designs against anyone.
South Asian rivals India and Pakistan -- which have fought three wars, two of them over the disputed territory of Kashmir -- have routinely carried out missile tests since both demonstrated nuclear weapons capability in 1998.
Pakistan's arsenal includes short-, medium- and long-range missiles named after Muslim conquerors.
"Let there be no doubt that Pakistan's armed forces are highly professional, motivated and fully capable of safeguarding Pakistan's security against all types of aggression," Gilani added.
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Friday, November 12, 2010

India, U.S. Could Collaborate on WMD Defense from GSN Daily News

http://gsn.nti.org/gsn/nw_20101112_9853.php
An Indian scientific delegation is set to discuss with U.S. counterparts how the elimination of some U.S. restrictions on high-tech trade with the South Asian nation could enable new collaborative work on technologies for countering chemical, biological and nuclear weapons, the Hindustan Times reported today (see GSN, Nov. 8).
President Obama last week announced the United States would ease some controls on exports of sensitive technology to India, regulations originally put in place in response to the South Asian nation's 1998 nuclear tests.
The development of anti-WMD technology was one potential area in which the sides might now pool their scientific resources, said W. Selvamurthy, a chief controller at India's Defense Research and Development Organization.
Selvamurthy is expected to lead the team of Indian scientists in discussions with U.S. Defense Threat Reduction Agency specialists, as well as in an upcoming meeting in Orlando, Florida, to address WMD defense and response planning.
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Tuesday, November 9, 2010

AES plans $15bn spending spree in India to raise power generation capacity

AES, the US utility with operations in 29 countries, plans to spend as much as $15bn to increase capacity in India and get 10 per cent of its revenue from the South Asian nation in five years.
“A big part of that would be financed by banks,” Chief Executive Officer Paul Hanrahan said in an interview in New Delhi, reported Bloomberg. “The equity piece would be about $4bn to $5bn.”
Prime Minister Manmohan Singh’s government plans to tap private investments as it plans to double infrastructure spending in India to $1 trn in the five years ending 2017. Asia’s second-biggest energy consumer is adding electricity- generation capacity to reduce blackouts and fuel an economy that grew at the fastest pace in more than two years in the three months ended 30 June. More at:
http://www.powergenworldwide.com/index/display/articledisplay/2325682286/articles/powergenworldwide/coal-generation/new-projects/2010/11/aes-plans__15bn_spending.html
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Sunday, September 26, 2010

Nuclear Consistency: As Easy as 1-2-3?

Charles K. Ebinger, Director, Energy Security Initiative
Govinda Avasarala, Research Assistant, Energy Security Initiative
In the international civilian nuclear arena, it appears that the Orwellian maxim applies: all states are equal, but some are more equal than others. In early August the Wall Street Journal reported that the United States and Vietnam are in advanced negotiations for a civilian nuclear cooperation accord, also known as a “123” agreement. By all accounts, the agreement under discussion would not impinge upon Vietnam’s right to enrich uranium, a process that is required to create new reactor fuel, but one that also confers the key ability to produce fissile material for nuclear weapons. The deal follows hard on the heels of the Bush administration’s famous (or infamous) 123 agreement with India that allowed a non-signatory to the Non-Proliferation Treaty to continue domestic enrichment and reprocessing while enjoying the benefits of civilian nuclear trade with the United States.

Ignoring the proliferation concerns present in an opaque Indian nuclear system or an embryonic Vietnamese program, what is most troublesome is the government’s rationale for permitting enrichment in Vietnam. According to Philip Crowley, State Department assistant secretary for public affairs, “if Vietnam chooses, exercising its right under the NPT [Non-Proliferation Treaty] to enrichment, that is a decision for them to make. It’s not a decision for the United States to make.”
While Mr. Crowley is correct in citing the NPT—Article IV of the treaty declares the “inalienable right” for each country to pursue nuclear energy—his literal interpretation appears in stark contrast to the U.S. attitude to aspirant civilian nuclear states in the Middle East. The recent 123 agreement with the United Arab Emirates, which is on a fast-track to building a nuclear energy program, precludes enrichment and reprocessing. The UAE’s concessions were based on the grounds that the U.S. will not enter into a more lenient 123 agreement with any other nation in the Middle East. The hard line in the UAE deal with regard to enrichment is also evident in the Obama administration’s attitude to Jordan, a steadfast ally that signed the NPT in 1968, despite recently discovering abundant domestic reserves of natural uranium.
This unconcealed double-standard creates two problems: first, it makes it difficult for this administration, which has taken admirable steps to engage the countries in the Middle East, to show that it is not talking out of both sides of its mouth. Second, it undermines the administration’s condemnation of the nuclear cooperation between China and Pakistan, despite the latter’s egregious proliferation record.
The Obama administration would be better served by adopting a singular nuclear energy cooperation policy. While some may dismiss such a stance as impeding necessary diplomatic flexibility, for a topic as sensitive as nuclear energy and non-proliferation, in regions as tumultuous as the Middle East, South Asia, and Southeast Asia, unwavering principles are a good thing.
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Tuesday, September 21, 2010

Pakistan plans nuclear power surge

The coat of arms of Pakistan displays the nati...Image via Wikipedia
China plans to help Pakistan build a nuclear power reactor that will dwarf four it has built or has scheduled, adding to Western concerns about the safety of the South Asian country's nuclear material and Beijing's willingness to add fuel to their fears. - Syed Fazl-e-Haider
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